Picking Winners At The Horse Track Using My Rating System Articles | Horse Betting

By: Richard Bleuze

Picking Winners At The Horse Track Using My Rating System

There are as many ways of picking winners as there are horse bettors. 
Some people follow their hunches.  A really bad idea!  Other people go to the
opposite extreme and spend hours wading through stacks of form books,
analysing the previous races of each runner, weighing up speed ratings and
carrying out a host of other checks in order to select the one horse
which they think has the best chance of passing the winning post first.

Still other horse bettors decide to leave the art of picking winners to someone else.  I do not recommend this for horses betting.  You need to have your own system based on a known system that works.  Many of these horse bettors subscribe to expensive telephone handicapping service. 

In this article, I will attempt to show you how to pick the most probable winner
of any given race in a matter of seconds.  You will do this by leaming to
read basic pieces of form-related data and then you will use this to generate
a simple mathematical rating for each horse by using my rating system.  The
higher the rating, the more chance the horse has of winning the race in question.

This rating system takes into account five major pieces of information.  Let
me take you through these items one by one and explain why they are so important...

1) Recent Form

How a horse has performed in its most recent races is as good an indication as you can get about how well it is likely to perform in its next scheduled race. 

2) Course

Race courses in the North America vary quite greatly.  Thus, you need to
answer the following:  can the horse handle the course?  If a horse has
already proven its ability to handle the course by having won over the same
course on a previous occasion then there should not be no problem.

3) Distance

Just as horses find some race courses more suitable than others, so it is
with the distance a race is to be run over.  Some horses do better in long
chases, while others do best do not.  Your goal is to find a horse that has
proven in the past that it can handle the distance by winning over the same
distance on a previous occasion.  If the horse has, then we can be fairly
confident that it has the potential to do the same again.

4) Days Since Last Ran

It is generally agreed among horse bettors that the lower the number of days since a horse's last outing, the better!  This means that a horse which ran seven days ago can be expected to be in better physical shape than one which ran over two hundred days ago.  I recommend not more than 30 days.

5) Betting Forecast Position

More often than not, horses which appear in the first three or four in the
betting forecast win more often than those which appear later on in the
forecast.

Now by using the above five major factors let me reveal how they are combined and used to generate the rating system.  The actual  ratings generation is very simple, and is achieved by taking the following steps....

For each horse in a race you should:

* Award 5 points for each lst place it has achieved in its last two races
   of the current season.
* Award 3 points for each 2nd place it has achieved in its last two races
   of the current season.
*  Award 2 points for each 3rd place it has achieved in its last two races
   of the  current season.
*  Award 1 point for each 4th place it has achieved in its last two races
   of the current season.
*  Award 2 points if the horse has won over the same distance as today's
   race distance.
*  Award 1 point if the horse has won over the same course as today's
   race course.
*  Take the position the horse has in the betting forecast and multiply by 0.
5, then  deduct this resulting figure from the total the horse has been
awarded previously.

Repeat this procedure for every horse in the race you are looking at and
you will generate a suitable rating for each.  All you need to do now is
use those ratings and turn them into cash !

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